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Analysis written by Sergio Yustos (@sergioyustos_) and tips by Cédric Molina (@ilcapoced)

ROUTE ANALYSIS

• Schedule: 11:55 - 16:00 CET
• TV coverage: from 14:20 CET

Milano–Torino, the oldest classic on the calendar, for the second year in a row will finish at one of the most iconic sites in Italian cycling: Superga. The race starts in Rho and covers 174 kilometres on a mostly flat route before reaching the decisive sector on the outskirts of Turin.

That is where the key moment of the day comes, with a double ascent of Superga (4.7 km at 9.2%), a demanding climb featuring ramps of up to 17%. On the first passage the riders will crest at Bivio, before tackling the final ascent that leads all the way up to the Basilica di Superga, traditionally the scene of a selective finale reserved for the best climbers and puncheurs.

THE WEATHER

A slight chance of rain on a day that should unfold without major issues. The temperature will hover around 13 ºC and the wind will not exceed 10 km/h at its peak during certain phases of the race.

FAVOURITES FOR THE WIN

It took a while, but we finally have a start list and the level is quite interesting. One climb to decide everything: Superga, and a fairly clear group of favourites. Perhaps the most surprising late addition is Primož Roglič. The Slovenian was not in bad shape at Tirreno-Adriatico and this is a climb that he has already shown suits him perfectly; in fact, he won here in 2021. So, why not, we should consider him a serious contender for the win.

Alongside him, and perhaps objectively even more favoured, we find riders such as Giulio Pellizzari, Tom Pidcock, Tobias Halland Johannessen, Derek Gee and Jan Christen – a group of six riders among whom the victory should be decided. Of these, the Norwegian has the best previous result here, with third place in 2025.

Beyond that, it seems harder to talk about contenders for the win, with riders such as Lorenzo Fortunato, Michael Storer, Paul Double, Diego Pescador, Finn Fisher-Black, Cian Uijtdebroeks and Alex Baudin in the mix. Although if we look for a surprise, names like Adrià Pericas, Simone Gualdi, Adam Rafferty, Markel Beloki, Jamie Meehan and Adrien Boichis come to mind. Among all of these, I have a lot of faith in Pericas and Meehan to deliver a strong performance at the finish.

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IL CAPO CED'S RECOMMENDATIONS TO BE A CAPO IN FANTASY

💥 Il Capo’s stat.

We’ve had 20 consecutive editions with a different winner each time.

🌟 Capos to watch.
1200; Primož Roglič
Only rider at this price.
He already won here in 2021, on the same route that will be used in the 2026 edition.

1000; Tom Pidcock
Only rider at this price.
In 9 days of racing he has managed to score points (i.e. finish in the top 20) on 6 of them.
That includes 1 win plus another 2 top-3 finishes.
The route suits him and he is one of the favourites.

800; Lorenzo Fortunato
I’m going with the Italian from Astana ahead of Derek Gee or Giulio Pellizzari.
Fortunato already finished 8th on this same climb last year.

600; Diego Ulissi
Let’s go with another Italian from Astana.
7th in 2021 and 12th in 2025 on the famous Superga climb. Just two weeks ago he was 4th at Trofeo Laigueglia, showing great form.

400; Alex Baudin
Here we go with the EF Education-EasyPost rider, who showed an excellent level at Paris–Nice, scoring points on all 4 mountain stages, including 2 top-10s.

200; Simone Gualdi
I’m keen to keep seeing how Gualdi progresses. He has scored points in 4 of the 5 classics he has ridden this season.

📂 Riders with -10% who managed to finish T10.
2025: 3
2024: 5 (including one at 0%)
2023: 2
2022: 2
2021: 3

📂 Riders costing 200 coins who managed to finish T10.
2025: 4
2024: 7
2023: 3
2022: 2
2021: 0

📂 Users’ popular vote in the app (15 most selected riders).
5 editions played in Fantasy (since 2021)
Got the 🥇 right: 5/5
Got the 🥈 right: 4/5
Got the 🥉 right: 4/5
Got the rest of the T10 right: 18/35